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Image Credit Header image: Artwork by Professor Lubaina Himid, CBE. Photo: @Denise Swanson


Muhammad Afzal

Specialist tutor in environmental Science

School of Natural Sciences

Environmental Science, Water in the Environment, Climate change

A hydro-climatologist who specialises in the analysis of the impacts of climate change and variability on hydrological and water resource systems examining recent trends and future projections and their impacts on food security and drought risks using the hydrological & crop modelling approach.

MSc Environmental Science, Glasgow, Scotland PhD, Hydro-climatology, UWS, Scotland

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Latest Additions

  1. Afzal, Muhammad, Vavlas, Nikolaos and Ragab, Ragab (2020) Modelling study to quantify the impact of future climate and land use changes on water resources availability at catchment scale. Journal of Water and Climate Change . ISSN 2040-2244
  2. Afzal, Muhammad and Ragab, R. (2020) How do climate and land use changes affect the water cycle? Modelling study including future drought events prediction using reliable drought indices. Irrigation and Drainage . ISSN 1531-0353
  3. Ragab, Ragab, Kaelin, Alexandra, Afzal, Muhammad and Panagea, Ioanna (2020) Application of Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) at different temporal scales to reduce the uncertainty level in modelled river flows. Hydrological Sciences Journal . ISSN 0262-6667
  4. Shahgedanova, Maria, Afzal, Muhammad, Hagg, Wilfried, Kapitsa, Vassiliy, Kasatkin, Nikolay, Mayr, Elizabeth, Rybak, Oleg, Saidaliyeva, Zarina, Severskiy, Igor et al (2020) Emptying Water Towers? Impacts of Future Climate and Glacier Change on River Discharge in the Northern Tien Shan, Central Asia. Water, 12 (3). p. 627. ISSN 2073-4441
  5. Afzal, Muhammad and Ragab, Ragab (2019) Drought Risk under Climate and Land Use Changes: Implication to Water Resource Availability at Catchment Scale. Water, 11 (9). p. 1790. ISSN 2073-4441
  6. Schulza, Christopher, Whitney, Bronwen S., Rossetto, Onélia Carmem, Neves, Danilo M., Crabb, Lauren, Castro de Oliveira, Emiliano, Lima, Pedro Luiz Terra, Afzal, Muhammad, Laing, Anna F. et al (2019) Physical, ecological and human dimensions of environmental change in Brazil's Pantanal wetland: Synthesis and research agenda. Science of the Total Environment, 687 . pp. 1011-1027. ISSN 0048-9697
  7. Shahgedanova, M., Afzal, Muhammad, Severskiy, I., Usmanova, Z., Saidaliyeva, Z., Kapitsa, V., Kasatkin, N. and Dolgikh, S. (2018) Changes in the mountain river discharge in the northern Tien Shan since the mid-20th Century: Results from the analysis of a homogeneous daily streamflow data set from seven catchments. Journal of Hydrology, 564 . pp. 1133-1152. ISSN 0022-1694
  8. Shahgedanova, Maria, Afzal, Muhammad, Usmanova, Zamira, Kapitsa, Vasilii, Mayr, Elisabeth, Hagg, Wilfried, Severskiy, Igor and Zhumabayev, Dauren (2017) Impacts of climate change on river discharge in the northern Tien Shan: Results from long-term observations and modelling. In: 19th EGU General Assembly, EGU2017, 23-28 April 2017, Vienna, Austria.
  9. Afzal, Muhammad, Battilani, A., Solimando, D. and Ragab, R. (2016) Improving water resources management using different irrigation strategies and water qualities: Field and modelling study. Journal of Agricultural Water Management, 176 . pp. 40-54. ISSN 0378-3774
  10. Afzal, Muhammad, Gagnon, Alexandre S. and Mansell, Martin G. (2016) The impact of the variability and periodicity of rainfall on surface water supply systems in Scotland. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 7 (2). pp. 321-339. ISSN 2040-2244